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The markets experienced what appeared to be a fresh tech sell off recently and, with the major escalation between Iran and the US, the backdrop to shares has become a little more uncertain. Oil has also continued to rise, and the main stock story has been the massive drop in SpaceX shares, which are reported to have fallen below their IPO price. Despite recent falls, the Nasdaq 100 is still reportedly up 10% YTD and the S&P 500 is reported to be up 9% YTD at the time of writing.

The multiyear AI tech rally has appeared to stall, and there has been a switch of money out of tech and into value shares in the banking and other old economy industries. Analysts claim IBM dropped 25% after it said that they were struggling in the AI sector. SpaceX is reported to be trading as low as $111 down from $220 on June 16th.

There was positive news on US inflation, which reportedly dropped 0.4% to 3.5% on June 16th. Other major news was the record earnings reported by big US investment banks. JP Morgan Chase, Goldman Sachs and Citigroup all appeared to deliver better-than-expected earnings. The continued tension between Iran and the US could represent an inflation risk and may add market risk over the summer months. Andy Burnham has reportedly become the UK Prime Minister, but it remains to be seen how his economic policies will affect the stock market.

The Irish government’s Summer Economic Statement has painted a broad picture of Budget 2027 with the budget set for October 6. It appears that the government is planning for €7 billion in additional spending in 2027 as well as €1.5 bn of tax cuts. As always, there is arguably a strong argument for capital spending, considering the infrastructure deficits that exist in roads, housing, water, transport and health services. The risk may lie in containing current expenditure, as it is likely to remain dependent on tax receipts from the multi-national sector.

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MARKET COMMENTARY
Intel has reportedly announced a €5bn investment in infrastructure in its Leixlip plant. This is potentially very significant, as it means that some of Intel’s most up to date semiconductors and Central Processing Units are expected to be made in Ireland. The share price reportable has fallen 22% over the last month, due to the semi-conductor sell off. However, it is also reported to be up 300% over the last 12 months, indicating a classic recovery. The focus appears to be on Intel’s AI data center operations and its foundry business, where it builds chips for outside designers. Among analysts, HSBC has reportedly raised its price target to €200.

Greencore shares reportedly rose by 12 per cent after the convenience food group raised its full-year operating profit forecasts and said it remains on track to “drive value” from its takeover of rival British group Bakkavor earlier this year. In a trading update , the London-listed sandwich supplier said revenues increased by 3.2 per cent in its third financial quarter to more than £1.02 billion (€1.19 billion) compared to the same period last year.

Greencore, which supplies Marks & Spencer and – following the Bakkavor merger – more of Tesco's pre-packed sandwiches and other convenience foods, said manufactured food sales volumes increased by 0.7 per cent in the 13 weeks to the end of June. Over the last 3 years, Greencore shares have reportedly recovered from 64 p to trade at €2.40. It reportedly still trades on an undemanding p/e of 9 x earnings.

TWEET OF THE WEEK

The European Central Bank kept interest rates unchanged as expected today but held the door open to another increase in September...

Article of the week

A resumption of hostilities between the US and Iran sent oil surging back above $100 a barrel today, as traders bet on further disruption to global crude supplies...

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